The Conservatives are on track to slump to just 53 seats.

The Liberal Democrats are on course to be just behind the Tories on 50 MPs,according to the Savanta and Electoral Calculus polling analysis,leaving them in touching distance of becoming the official opposition.

Labour is forecast to have 516 seats and an estimated House of Commons majority of 382 – double that won by Sir Tony Blair in 1997 – as Sir Keir Starmer becomes prime minister.

Meanwhile Reform,despite a surge in the polls,is predicted to get zero seats.

Read the full story here.

Tory wipeout: Our analysis

The Cabinet | The Tory big beasts set to lose seats in election bloodbath

Analysis | Kemi Badenoch is the future of the Tory party... no one else survives

Search tool | Will your MP lose their seat? Use our search tool

Pollster’s view | The Tories are teetering on the brink of extinction

SNP would have mandate for independence even after an election wipeout,says Swinney

The SNP will have a mandate for another independence referendum even if it suffers an election wipeout,John Swinney has insisted as he unveiled his party’s manifesto. Read the party’s position on the the UK,the EU and defence here.

Reform | Muslim entrepreneur Zia Yusuf gives party the biggest donation of campaign

Constance Marten and Mark Gordon jury discharged after failing to reach verdict

The jury in the trial of Constance Marten and Mark Gordon,who were accused of killing their baby daughter,has been discharged after failing to reach a verdict. Read more here.

Evening Briefing: Today’s essential headlines

The Telegraph | The Telegraph has revealed a £278m black hole in its finances as a result of loans extracted by the Barclay family which are unlikely ever to be repaid.

France | British boy,8,tear-gassed by French police

Crime | Teenager who murdered 17-year-old Charlie Cosser named

Business | France risks EU fines as Emmanuel Macron rebuked over borrowing binge

Culture | Sir Ian McKellen ‘looking forward to returning to work’ after fall off stage

Cars | Ferrari’s first electric car to cost more than €500,000

Watch: Just Stop Oil protesters spray Stonehenge orange

Two arrested as protest group says substance used to cover ancient stones was washable orange cornflower.

SEE MORE

Comment and analysis

Tim Stanley | Labour destroys the case for first-past-the-post

Sherelle Jacobs | Britain is about to pass the point of no return

Tom Sharpe | Ukraine’s newest weapon should terrify Russia’s flailing strategists

Annabel Denham | Starmer just made his first major misstep – bigger shocks lie ahead

Tom Harris | The SNP has nothing left to offer

Feature of the day

‘I’m not brainy,but my 72 years give me an edge over younger people’

From bereavements and illness to marriage break-ups and job losses,no wonder the over-65s are more capable than the average 20-something.

READ MORE

Editor’s choice

Health | The real reason you get menopause brain fog – and what you can do about it

Sport | Michael Vaughan: If I had gone through this racism ordeal at 80,I would have wanted to be shot

Money | Downsizing is exciting – here are the places I would consider,writes Phil Spencer

Sport briefing: Today’s essential headlines

Euro 2024 power rankings | England above France but Scotland rock bottom

Exclusive | Kevin Sinfield considers England extension as he weighs up options after Rob Burrow death

Premier League | Leicester City in advanced talks with former Nottingham Forest manager Steve Cooper

Olympics | End of the road for Brownlees as Jonny not selected for Paris Olympics

Watch | French swimmer dislocates shoulder while celebrating Olympics qualification

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